Porto vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.5%
6.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 4
FCP
37%
21%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 1
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
OEL
2 - 4
FCP
25%
20%
55%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
EST
4 - 1
FCP
54%
19%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
FCP
4 - 1
SCP
34%
20%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 1
VST
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ACA
4 - 3
SPB
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
18%
17%
65%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 3
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPB
49%
20%
31%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |