Porto vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.5%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
14.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.7%
3-0
18.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.3%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
5.7%
0.9%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLH
0 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
FCP
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SER
0 - 4
FCP
3%
13%
84%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |