Champions League Last 16
Global 1-1
Porto vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOA
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
GFC
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 3
FCP
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
S04
0 - 1
BYM
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LEV
1 - 0
S04
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2008 |
S04
1 - 2
WOL
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BVB
2 - 3
S04
29%
27%
45%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |