Europa League 1/32
Global 4-5
Porto vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
FCP
3 - 0
POR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCP
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1976 |
EIN
6 - 3
S04
64%
20%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
S04
3 - 0
ROT
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
KAI
2 - 0
S04
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
S04
3 - 2
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1976 |
WEH
1 - 3
S04
15%
18%
67%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | +1 |