Porto vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
FCP
0 - 1
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
GFC
2 - 5
FCP
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
PAN
0 - 0
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
VST
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 2
LOU
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |