Porto vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
9 - 0
TIR
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LEX
2 - 1
FCP
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SAN
0 - 3
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
SAN
2 - 0
FAB
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 0
TIR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |