Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Porto vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 3
FCP
27%
25%
47%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
LEX
0 - 1
FCP
24%
26%
51%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
FCP
4 - 1
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 3
FCP
27%
25%
47%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1967 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
48%
21%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 2
SAN
65%
17%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 0
BMA
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |