Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Porto vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
FCP
10 - 1
SPB
83%
11%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1952 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
FCP
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1952 |
SAL
4 - 0
VIT
62%
18%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAL
70%
16%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 1
VIT
60%
19%
21%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 0
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SCP
6 - 0
SAL
95%
4%
2%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |