Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 14-3
Porto vs Sacavenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
1 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
57%
|
88 | 44 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 2
SAL
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
VIT
4 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sacavenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
1 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
57%
|
44 | 88 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
4 - 3
CHA
33%
22%
45%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
3 - 0
CHA
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAC
79%
12%
9%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |