Porto vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SLB
6 - 1
RIO
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
MOR
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIO
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 1
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |