Porto vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
45%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BMA
1 - 2
FCP
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
FCP
0 - 0
ZEN
55%
21%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAÇ
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SLB
5 - 1
RIO
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
GFC
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FEI
2 - 0
RIO
35%
30%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |