Europa League 1/64
Global 6-2
Porto vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
FCP
3 - 1
GFC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2002 |
BOA
0 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FCP
2 - 2
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCP
5 - 3
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
POL
2 - 1
RCH
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SZC
3 - 1
POL
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
SLI
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
POL
0 - 0
LPO
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
WLO
3 - 2
POL
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |