Porto vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 1
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1987 |
AJA
0 - 1
FCP
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
OEL
2 - 3
FCP
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
FCP
1 - 2
RMA
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AME
2 - 0
PEÑ
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
RIV
1 - 0
PEÑ
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
IND
2 - 4
PEÑ
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |