Porto vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1996 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
33%
28%
38%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
FCP
6 - 2
FEL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
FCP
2 - 0
LEC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
LAM
1 - 1
FCP
7%
17%
76%
|
88 | 12 | 76 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 3
FCP
14%
27%
60%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
FEL
1 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
SPB
1 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1993 |
PEN
1 - 2
SPB
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
BMA
2 - 1
PEN
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
PEN
2 - 2
SLB
14%
26%
60%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |