Porto vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1990 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1990 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
39%
29%
32%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
FCP
2 - 2
BMA
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
27%
30%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
FCP
1 - 0
VST
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 2
NAC
37%
31%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
BMA
0 - 0
PEN
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIT
23%
32%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VST
3 - 1
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
23%
33%
44%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |