Porto vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.66
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
17%
27%
56%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
FCP
6 - 3
AMO
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
GCZ
3 - 0
FCP
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
POR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
28%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
PEN
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
ACA
2 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
PEN
2 - 1
VST
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
AMO
3 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |