Porto vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
TRO
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VST
2 - 1
PAÇ
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |