Porto vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
60%
20%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SAL
1 - 2
FCP
13%
18%
70%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
FCP
1 - 1
TOR
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ORI
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 2
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SPB
5 - 0
ORI
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 0
SLB
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
VST
0 - 1
ORI
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |