Porto vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPC
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCP
30%
23%
47%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BOA
4 - 1
ORI
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ORI
3 - 0
VIT
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
EST
3 - 2
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 1
SCP
17%
18%
65%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
BEL
7 - 2
ORI
86%
10%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |