Porto vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
13.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
8.5%
6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
FCB
1 - 0
FCP
35%
22%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
FCP
2 - 2
EST
66%
16%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
SCP
5 - 2
FCP
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCP
15%
17%
69%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 1
OEL
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
VST
2 - 0
OEL
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
OEL
12 - 1
ACA
78%
12%
10%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 2
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
OEL
2 - 1
BEL
20%
20%
59%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +2 |