Porto vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
4 - 1
LAZ
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 2
FCP
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
UDL
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 0
NAV
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
NAV
3 - 0
SAL
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
NAV
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
SCP
0 - 1
NAV
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |