Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Porto vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
FCP
1 - 3
SLB
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 1
VST
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
FCP
4 - 1
FER
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
ANG
2 - 5
NAN
28%
24%
48%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
NAN
6 - 0
PSG
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 0
NÎM
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
NAN
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
NAN
4 - 3
ASS
31%
26%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |