Porto vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPB
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
NAC
4 - 1
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |