Porto vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
EST
0 - 0
FCP
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
BRE
0 - 5
FCP
48%
27%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
VST
3 - 3
FCP
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
ACM
1 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1994 |
ACM
0 - 0
AND
58%
24%
17%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
57%
25%
18%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |