Champions League 1/16
Global 1-0
Porto vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 1
VST
84%
11%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
FCP
6 - 0
POR
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
FCP
1 - 2
BOA
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 1
GEN
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
PES
1 - 1
ACM
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 2
ACM
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 0
ASS
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |