Porto vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
FAR
0 - 3
FCP
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
FCP
7 - 0
BMA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
FCP
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 2
SCP
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPB
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SAL
2 - 2
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 2
UDL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 0
BOA
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ALV
3 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |