Porto vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.6%
Win probability
4.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.9%
6-0
6.5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.4%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
AEK
6 - 1
FCP
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
21%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
ACV
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAM
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 0
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |