Porto vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
FCP
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
64%
18%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 0
LGC
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
LGC
0 - 1
SPC
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPB
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1960 |
SCP
4 - 2
LGC
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |