Porto vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
8 - 1
SPC
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
68%
17%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
FCP
2 - 0
TOR
90%
7%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
LGC
4 - 1
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
2 - 0
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LGC
0 - 2
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 1
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
5 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |