Porto vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 3
FCP
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
FCP
10 - 1
FCB
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPB
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
FCP
27%
23%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
SCP
6 - 0
LGC
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
LGC
4 - 0
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
LGC
7 - 3
CAL
72%
17%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 1
LGC
51%
22%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |