Porto vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
SPC
2 - 2
FCP
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1955 |
FCP
3 - 2
FAB
86%
8%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
BOA
5 - 2
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCP
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
44%
22%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VST
0 - 0
LGC
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
BEL
2 - 0
LGC
83%
10%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
LGC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1955 |
SPC
3 - 2
LGC
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |