Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Porto vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1953 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCP
42%
23%
36%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
FCP
6 - 0
BOA
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCP
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCP
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FCP
4 - 1
EST
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1953 |
SCP
2 - 2
LGC
89%
7%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SPB
0 - 4
LGC
43%
22%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 0
LGC
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |