Champions League Playoffs Last 16
Global 0-5
Porto vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
LIV
21%
22%
57%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 2
TOT
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 3
LIV
8%
15%
77%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 3
WBA
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 0
LIV
12%
18%
69%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |