Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 3
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 0
NAC
63%
23%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 0
RIO
52%
27%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 0
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |