Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
FCP
6%
15%
80%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ATM
0 - 3
FCP
50%
22%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
LEX
2 - 2
OLH
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
48%
28%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 1
SPB
31%
29%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
LEX
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
LEX
13%
21%
66%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |