Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 6
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 0
UFT
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
VST
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
LEX
2 - 1
ACA
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
OLH
0 - 1
LEX
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
LEX
2 - 0
BEL
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
SCP
5 - 2
LEX
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
LEX
2 - 1
ORI
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |