Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
31%
28%
42%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 2
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLH
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
LEX
4 - 2
CDM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
FAB
0 - 3
LEX
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
LEX
0 - 0
FAR
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ORI
3 - 2
LEX
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
LEX
1 - 1
BEL
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |