Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
17%
22%
61%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
BMA
1 - 3
FCP
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
48%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
LGC
0 - 0
FCP
22%
23%
56%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
LEX
2 - 1
FAB
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
41%
24%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 0
LEX
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
LEX
0 - 1
VST
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |