Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-0
Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
FCP
5 - 0
ATL
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
FEI
0 - 4
LEX
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
23%
24%
54%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VST
3 - 3
LEX
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAB
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |