Porto vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.1%
Win probability
4.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.2%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.5%
7-0
4.1%
8-1
1.8%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.3%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.1%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.8%
4.2%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.2%
1.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 4
FCP
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCP
12%
17%
72%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 3
FCP
13%
18%
69%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 1
LEX
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
5 - 2
LEX
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 0
LEX
63%
18%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
VST
1 - 1
LEX
69%
16%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
LEX
3 - 3
ACA
54%
21%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |