Porto vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
LAM
1 - 1
FCP
7%
17%
76%
|
88 | 11 | 77 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
CHA
2 - 3
FCP
14%
27%
60%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
FCP
2 - 0
GFC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
SCP
0 - 2
FCP
55%
25%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
24%
29%
47%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
LEC
1 - 0
FEL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
LEC
4 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
GFC
0 - 0
LEC
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1996 |
SCP
2 - 0
LEC
91%
7%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 5
BEL
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |