Champions League Last 16
Global 2-4
Porto vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 3
SPB
71%
19%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 1
FCP
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 1
INT
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
INT
3 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 2
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |