Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-1
Porto vs Hvidovre IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
BOA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
HVI
1 - 2
FCP
12%
19%
69%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCP
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
3 - 3
ACA
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hvidovre IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
HVI
1 - 2
FCP
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1967 |
RMA
4 - 1
HVI
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1967 |
HVI
2 - 2
RMA
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1967 |
HVI
3 - 3
BAS
45%
21%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
BAS
1 - 2
HVI
71%
15%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |