Porto vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
3º
3º
6
9º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 4
FCP
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
ALN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 2
TAT
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 3
FCP
24%
24%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 0
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
GFC
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 1
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
GFC
13%
20%
68%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |