Porto vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
INT
3 - 1
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 4
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GFC
3 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 3
VIT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 1
GFC
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |