Porto vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
BOA
0 - 1
FCP
33%
30%
38%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCP
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1969 |
FER
0 - 1
ACA
30%
21%
48%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1969 |
ACA
4 - 1
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1964 |
LUS
2 - 2
FER
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FER
1 - 3
LUS
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 0
FER
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |