Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 16-0
Porto vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1959 |
FER
0 - 9
FCP
28%
22%
49%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
FCP
6 - 1
VIL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 26 | 62 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCP
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 26 | 62 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TOR
0 - 3
FCP
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
FCP
3 - 2
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1959 |
FER
0 - 9
FCP
28%
22%
49%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |