Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Porto vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 1
BMA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
FEI
1 - 1
FCP
5%
19%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1991 |
FEI
1 - 1
FCP
5%
19%
75%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
FEI
1 - 0
TIR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
41%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
FEI
1 - 3
BOA
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 1
FEI
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |