Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Porto vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
31%
29%
40%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCP
17%
29%
54%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
TOR
0 - 1
FCP
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
FCP
6 - 0
RDA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1983 |
SER
1 - 2
SHA
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SHA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
SHA
4 - 2
NYK
92%
6%
2%
|
81 | 10 | 71 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
NYK
1 - 5
SHA
8%
16%
75%
|
81 | 10 | 71 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
EIN
3 - 0
SHA
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |