Porto vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
22%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
FCP
15%
21%
63%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
VAR
0 - 3
FCP
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
FCB
1 - 1
SEI
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
FCB
3 - 4
ACA
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SLB
8 - 0
FCB
89%
8%
4%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 0
OLH
62%
19%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
VST
3 - 0
FCB
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |